今日股市行情分析

宏信证券黄胜

<!--[qianfan_html]--><style type="text/css">html{font-size:375%}</style><link href="https://pic.app.meishanren.com/static/publish/css/style.css?v=1605251010476" rel="stylesheet" position="1" data-qf-origin="/static/publish/css/style.css?v=1605251010476"><div class="preview_article ">            <!--[qianfan_bbs_start]-->    <p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 0em; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">昨日市场再次出现大涨，上证指数站上3500点，创业板更是大涨超4%，但是4大权重股贡献了超80%的涨幅，虽然总体是普涨格局，但是大部分是陪跑选手。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">昨日的明星依然是新能源，其中隆基、通威、宁德、先导都历史新高。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">前期没有上车的投资者只能望股兴叹；</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">同时我们提及的军工表现同样不俗，&ldquo;军茅&rdquo;中航光电再创新高。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">拖累指数的当属金融、地产，诱因是上周央行公布限制房地产贷款比例，其中国有大行不得超过40%，其他级别依次降低比例，再次传出管理层遏制房价的决心。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">今日有投资者提出了&ldquo;价值陷阱&rdquo;的话题，我们比较认同。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">从大的宏观背景看，地产等传统行业已经过了黄金期，难以提升估值，不降已经不错。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">但是我们也不能非常绝对的看这个问，价值本身是一个动态的概念，只要行业不消失，估值够便宜总会有修正的时候，只是时间和空间远逊于成长股。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">这要取决于&ldquo;否极&rdquo;的当时环境，还有就是投资人本身的预期收益和风险承受力。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 0em; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 0em; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">昨日还有一个事件值得关注，即爱尔眼科的武汉医疗事故，我们查阅了多方信息认为本次事件不会动摇爱尔眼科的行业地位，医疗本来就是高风险行业，出现一些问题得到有效纠正或许不是坏事，今日爱尔眼科大跌放天量，说明市场分歧很大，本次事件或许是较好的中期买点，投资者应该引起重视。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-indent: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(26, 26, 26, 0.3); clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; font-size: 18px; color: #363636; text-align: justify; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">今日策略：</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">市场成交充沛，关注成交量的变化，新能源暂时继续持有，短期出现高波动在所难免。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">目前市场偏好大市值公司，基本面投资者尽量以行业龙头为主，技术交易员以市场龙头为主，调仓换股尽量在同行业内去弱留强，避免不必要的机会成本</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-indent: 0em; color: #205867; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">。</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff0000; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 41px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">【风险自担</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff0000; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 41px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">，</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff0000; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 41px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">仅</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #ff0000; font-size: 14px; text-indent: 41px; caret-color: #ff0000; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">供参考】</span></p>    <!--[qianfan_bbs_end]--></div>